South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56be887b6b5a4a61389ad2fd1b9b9c93465fdb934dae4e12a9cd2bbddd97ce18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 11,023$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 4,096$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 3,093$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 41c | 1,502$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.91 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 1,048$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 931.28$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.52 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 891.15$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.4 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 25c | 857.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.38 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 70c | 812.68$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 785.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 55c | 716.96$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 34c | 531.07$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 42c | 480$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 63c | 383.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 69c | 311.55$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 77c | 272.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 53c | 251$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 24c | 235.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 53c | 232.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 77c | 230.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 213.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 21c | 170.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Over | 78c | 156.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 66c | 136.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 23c | 125.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 66c | 121.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 70c | 112.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 24c | 111.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Over | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 80.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 25c | 78.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 22c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 37c | 70.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 21c | 67.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 79c | 65.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over | 58c | 48.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 75c | 47.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 36.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 63c | 35.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 66c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Over | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.