TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd6a…ef21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13654.4%74 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$154.13
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$118.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$145
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$81.5
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$124.2
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.79
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+141%+$117
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$49.09
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Jablonec vs. NK Varaždin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
SK Dila Gori vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.07
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$43.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.