Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ddd4be18a62b3df6f711440985678eadc53c6594ddec35fac02d6a238d72aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 4,851$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.04 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 4,723$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.44 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 1,135$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,069$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 994.43$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 37c | 795.48$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 725.88$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 704.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 61c | 578.77$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 16c | 488$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 24c | 417.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 342.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 323$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 56c | 316.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 49c | 299.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 51c | 299.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 293.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 238.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 17c | 228.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 50c | 201$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 161.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 57c | 156.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 37c | 155.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 153.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 17c | 147.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 17c | 139.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…b02bbacked Over | 43c | 106.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 106.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 27c | 92.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 90.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Over | 37c | 82.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 78.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 35c | 68.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 62.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 51c | 56.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 60c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)CF Montréal won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.