TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd0e…cdf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+319.9%+$761.82
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$414.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.19
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+336.4%+$154.17
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$207
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+288.5%+$74.26
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.68
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.13
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$376
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$66.27
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+88.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.43
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$304.99
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$304
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.9
Will Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.31
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.6
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$404.99
Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$475
Will FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 17 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Marsaxlokk FC vs. Pyunik FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.