Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cab60c9253a2b4785188a563f7c5114661e3276ddad4d40582c4e483e92d464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 54c | 4,826$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 2,997$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 2,846$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.09 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 2,043$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.61 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,259$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 54c | 1,257$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 41c | 1,081$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.83 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 989.28$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 634.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.77 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 42c | 600.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 44c | 520$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 36c | 452.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 44c | 426.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 43c | 305.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 75c | 288.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 270.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 66c | 259.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 251.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed Yes | 34c | 228.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 203.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 146.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 33c | 144$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 16c | 128.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 26c | 94.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 61c | 93.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…520fbacked Yes | 21c | 83.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 78.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…f453backed Yes | 15c | 73.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 74c | 66.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 17c | 64.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 70c | 61.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 55c | 61.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 54.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 73c | 53.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 68c | 52.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…6fc2backed Yes | 22c | 46.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 78c | 34.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 74c | 32.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 22.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…3cfabacked No | 67c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.