TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2217…b756

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Asian League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+468.3%+$505.6
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.54
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.09
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.28
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.3
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+55%+$74.16
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$132.33
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$257.73
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.49
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.55
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$140.42
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.29
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+577.4%+$268.73
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.71
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.04
Haiti to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$416.95
Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.98
Morocco vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$94.57
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.76
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$53.48
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$43.52
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.94
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$107.45
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.48
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$178.34
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.73
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.04
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$33.33
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$15.15
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.47
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.5
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$12.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.63
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.