Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361769502231525c02e8d7df9da334962d25f645c61b336d1ed70ba6bd430a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 20c | 11,852$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.8 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8122…4af7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 78c | 2,390$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.18 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 1,062$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.85 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…44b4backed Yes | 77c | 894.91$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Yes | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 491.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed Yes | 78c | 491$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 418.94$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 45c | 342.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 46c | 292$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 178.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 77c | 168.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 78c | 167.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 76c | 143.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 76c | 131.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 113.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 110.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 100.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 18c | 82.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 78c | 69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 72c | 59.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 56.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…26f0backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…e55abacked Yes | 78c | 25.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…41dbbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 75c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?this page
- Haiti to score first vs. Morocco?Yes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.