Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti to score first vs. Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ce492e3cd569037663c1ca34d6123cee509d97c51a8984ad698514cf3c8d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 15c | 2,390$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.47 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 9c | 895.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 25c | 757.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.72 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 19c | 757.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.87 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 16c | 527$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.97 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 524.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 67c | 491.5$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed Yes | 15c | 490.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 302$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 182.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 74c | 159.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 15c | 69.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 60.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 60.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti to score first vs. Morocco?this page
- Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?No won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.