TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a28…eff6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Colombia to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53%+$21.21
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+222.6%+$27.6
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+34%+$10.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$42.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+131.3%+$145.89
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$15.11
Will Racing Club de Montevideo win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.91
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+123.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick16cpaid+337.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.