Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839dabc936b5f65762c72e409d0ca2968303a024d11b9e6bcce68e11e9e9f174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 29c | 30,581$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,745.1 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 16,332$11,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,046.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 71c | 13,808$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.33 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 29c | 9,542$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.57 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 71c | 4,568$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.58 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 73c | 3,691$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 3,345$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 72c | 2,688$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 2,413$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 29c | 1,808$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes | 70c | 1,450$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.82 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 1,391$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.6 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 1,114$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 55c | 802.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.33 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 25c | 785.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 708.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 30c | 699.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 72c | 625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 33c | 564.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.93 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 28c | 546.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.72 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Yes | 71c | 537.22$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 519.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 519.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 20c | 516.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 504.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed No | 28c | 489.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 72c | 481.81$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 480.38$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes | 46c | 443$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked No | 30c | 430$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 27c | 414.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.62 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 414.27$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 27c | 412.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.06 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 26c | 381.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 31c | 333.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed No | 27c | 315$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 310.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 32c | 286.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9074…ea32backed Yes | 72c | 272.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 72c | 270$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed No | 28c | 265.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +152%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 25c | 250.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…a059backed Yes | 41c | 243.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked No | 26c | 241$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 31c | 239.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 56c | 230.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Yes | 46c | 226$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 27c | 214.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 49c | 212.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 26c | 186.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 35c | 185$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…d3c7backed Yes | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…0bc5backed Yes | 71c | 175.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…e981backed Yes | 72c | 147.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…3256backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…39dabacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…be38backed Yes | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 50c | 133.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…3cdfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 26c | 117.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…69e2backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 26c | 110.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…982ebacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 34c | 93.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 31c | 88.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 69c | 86.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed No | 27c | 85.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 59c | 84.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked No | 31c | 77.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 33c | 76.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…b8d3backed Yes | 72c | 71.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 29c | 67.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 26c | 58.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Yes | 21c | 57.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4476backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…cd83backed Yes | 39c | 53.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…b025backed Yes | 66c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…4589backed Yes | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 27c | 49.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…632cbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…b581backed Yes | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99b…48e1backed Yes | 72c | 35.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…3568backed Yes | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…90c6backed Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed No | 31c | 33.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Jordan to win the second half?No won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.