TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,363 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes48c177,582$85,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,006.7529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes50c105,245$52,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,305.1312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No50c42,303$21,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,993.594544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c41,083$20,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,284.51,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c33,948$17,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,482.48,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No53c29,809$15,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,066.146055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c26,346$13,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,646.1517049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No52c23,332$12,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,201.835850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12c…f2d4backed No54c22,703$12,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,461.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed No52c21,121$10,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,123.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No52c20,594$10,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,917.9223354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c20,202$9,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,860.411,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.974165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No52c18,037$9,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,657.943268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes50c17,300$8,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,702.578321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c16,980$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.063,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes50c15,689$7,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.46543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No51c12,947$6,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5714…f2a3backed No51c12,506$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No52c11,731$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,630.776546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No52c10,003$5,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,795.824845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No51c9,640$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.443148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c8,522$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.571,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No52c5,639$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No51c5,301$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.6517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No51c5,216$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.447556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes48c4,952$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.9937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No53c4,760$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.381560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No53c3,824$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.662268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c3,763$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.032,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No51c3,342$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes50c3,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.0616543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No52c2,341$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.687143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c1,997$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.835,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes40c1,877$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.516823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No52c1,567$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.371250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No52c1,483$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.433754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No56c1,427$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.399649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes21c1,359$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes49c1,055$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.44847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes28c1,051$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.921,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No64c999.94$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8829747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c991.81$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.021,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes46c938$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.484027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed Yes22c808.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes46c721.73$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes50c655$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.54156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.866944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x957f…8bb9backed Yes9c611.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No52c601.92$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c587.78$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No51c583.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8130754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed Yes4c537.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c504$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.381,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c490.03$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4139853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes49c486.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c485.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes40c475$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4618742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c446.53$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No52c416.35$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.855560%33 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No52c385.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.317332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes48c373$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.042,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes49c333$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.568953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed No49c333$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes35c312.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No51c268.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5721359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes48c249.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.071,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed No52c223$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes7c220.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.761030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Yes50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes6c199.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No50c188.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.247450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Yes14c187.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9055155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed No58c175.64$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.191973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c175.64$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.991,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No57c173.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8328443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…8da5backed No51c172.28$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Yes50c158.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+84.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No51c154.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.693450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No80c150.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes49c149.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1511155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes49c140.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.872560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes44c140$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.45935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes18c134$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.122832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Yes48c131.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No52c116.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.