TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7693…ba75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT5425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur Filsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.19
BNP Paribas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Elina Svitolinabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.99
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$220
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano Darderibacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+198.1%+$664.49
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.26
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.78
BNP Paribas Open: Kayla Day vs Iga Swiatekbacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.03
BNP Paribas Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Elena Rybakinabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85
BNP Paribas Open: Storm Hunter vs Belinda Bencicbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$128.44
BNP Paribas Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tommy Paulbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$188.89
Dalibor Svrcina vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.66
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.51
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$162.26
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$93.28
BNP Paribas Open: Adam Walton vs Learner Tienbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143.93
BNP Paribas Open: Peyton Stearns vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$575.53
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$212.5
BNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$290.49
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$147.25
Brasilia: Facundo Acosta vs Luis Guto Miguelbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$236.92
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$229.46
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$102.54
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$262.5
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$890
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$347.14
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$193.3
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$214.49
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+455.6%+$615
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$208.78
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$293.2
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$153.33
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102.79
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.72
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+267.8%+$330.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.05
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$169.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$93.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.