Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4416ad4e900e18a82313c37292ae49de3687d4ac507a824c75db4d95512ca68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,740 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 68c | 3,000$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.3 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,819$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 1,361$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 35c | 1,309$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.02 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 20c | 1,040$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 62c | 605.78$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Under | 35c | 600$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 35c | 540$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…0759backed Under | 39c | 405$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…01babacked Under | 39c | 297$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…17acbacked Under | 39c | 291$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…c328backed Over | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…ddddbacked Over | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…3effbacked Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…4a89backed Over | 61c | 183$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 38c | 179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 102.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 21c | 62.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 65c | 51.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)FC Twente '65 won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.