TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Heat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Nets, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,581,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,581,869 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets13c384,614$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.7843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nets14c72,776$10,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,068.779018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets13c61,347$7,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,975.131,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets13c53,570$6,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.427424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nets13c39,999$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets0c38,216$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.171,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets9c37,088$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets7c33,549$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets0c31,502$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.117211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Nets13c23,777$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.0216039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Nets13c23,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99028643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets13c22,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets10c18,865$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets1c16,305$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.171,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Nets13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9508944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets16c14,338$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Heat79c13,879$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.163271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4072…3e40backed Nets8c13,041$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nets13c12,641$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.8847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets5c12,198$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.421,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets12c11,070$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets14c10,711$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.5124831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Nets0c10,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets13c9,792$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.0561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c9,394$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.248820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets10c9,035$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.561,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nets13c8,907$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.6785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nets1c7,807$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nets13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets13c7,206$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Nets0c6,697$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93112.9%4 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-69.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05c3…3f7fbacked Nets0c6,643$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets8c6,606$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.271,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets13c5,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets13c5,398$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets6c5,068$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.831,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nets11c4,893$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets13c4,160$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Nets4c3,754$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.586341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Nets14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets11c3,081$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Nets7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Nets5c2,683$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12228616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Nets5c2,598$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.881,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc573…9ac4backed Nets15c2,456$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Nets13c2,421$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nets11c2,411$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9128842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nets20c2,260$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.0861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Nets6c2,129$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets9c2,109$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.163,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Nets7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Nets12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9740035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets13c1,907$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nets19c1,858$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2838540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Nets19c1,826$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Nets10c1,771$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.333428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Nets22c1,689$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8111843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Nets1c1,539$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nets13c1,525$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2528241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Nets3c1,498$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nets23c1,374$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Nets13c1,311$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4832330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets20c1,290$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.035,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets13c1,275$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Nets12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Nets11c1,227$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.793243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x890b…6afebacked Nets8c1,213$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e3…f2c9backed Nets14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e3…1b9ebacked Nets14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Nets14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nets12c1,109$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets11c1,087$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Nets13c1,039$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0743543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Nets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Nets23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5b…aab5backed Nets13c978.65$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.487429.7%22 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets12c978.48$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…d523backed Nets14c955.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nets9c951.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Nets13c878.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2428042.5%119 W · 161 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Nets6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf197…6eb9backed Nets12c825.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets13c818$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3469929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Nets10c791.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5630845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nets14c789$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.461,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3d…194abacked Nets16c771.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Nets13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Nets14c752.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.355944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Nets13c750.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.594325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked Nets14c750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Nets14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.