TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2cf…d1e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST3271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43,103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+34.4%+$14,841.97
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4,108.01
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Nets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.2%+$2,879.16
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68,601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.7%+$29,299.18
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65,864Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+41.1%+$27,056.21
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.4%+$3,126.71
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+62.6%+$36,132.19
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$388.89
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,027
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$36,928.33
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$9,899.7
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,101
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+102.4%+$5,324.06
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+43.6%+$1,352.22
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.8%+$427.27
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+48.7%+$975.62
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,401
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$357.72
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,077Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+50.7%+$3,082.64
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+120.5%+$63,634.53
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.61
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10,101
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+495.6%+$4,732.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,366.72
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$1,620
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.3%+$1,069.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$127.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.8%+$324.92
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$122.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$6,149.02
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+50.4%+$8.69
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.9%+$2,714.11
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,594Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+48.6%+$8,061.47
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+39.7%+$396.92
New Delhi: Alexandr Binda vs Jay Clarkebacked Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Quentin Halysbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+34.9%+$2,095.86
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
New Delhi: Dane Sweeny vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Qatar Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Billy Harrisbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.4%+$37.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+290.8%+$3,410.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$948
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,545.45
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,168.55
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$475
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$420
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+114.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.8%+$56.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$9.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$157.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$441
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.