TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No73c5,700$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5393351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No74c5,406$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.563767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c5,015$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.9552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c3,513$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.371,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c3,288$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.7771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c1,948$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes29c1,587$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,366$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c1,355$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7426660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c1,252$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3383138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes28c857.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c777$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No73c344.84$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes21c242$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes23c147$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.812540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No73c99.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.992564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No74c90.18$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe848…6220backed Yes27c66.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb314…9459backed Yes27c65.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd690…f08bbacked Yes27c64.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No74c62.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.163161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No73c60.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c55.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed Yes27c55.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x752f…a33cbacked Yes27c54.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x690a…fcc9backed Yes27c54.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Yes28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef78…6e1bbacked Yes27c52.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…3d3ebacked Yes27c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3409…aa94backed Yes27c50.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes30c50.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…1d14backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b73…4045backed Yes28c47.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…8734backed Yes27c47.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…7a9dbacked Yes27c47.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…3c32backed Yes27c47.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8290%0 W · 9 L-5.3wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xaaff…e10fbacked Yes27c47.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked Yes27c45.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No80c44.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.139535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd854…ad82backed Yes27c44.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa840…63a4backed Yes27c44.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x905c…811fbacked Yes27c43.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0114…3d19backed No74c42.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbacb…8777backed Yes27c42.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d1…4b1dbacked Yes27c41.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…6201backed Yes27c41.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf144…4dcbbacked Yes27c39.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…c2e9backed Yes27c38.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf785…c473backed No74c26.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0476…8d17backed No74c25.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ae…b872backed No74c25.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5e…faefbacked No74c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…34dcbacked No74c21.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…da55backed No74c21.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.676254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed No73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…983cbacked No74c20.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.215100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+115.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fdb…e8b3backed No74c19.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…1921backed No74c19.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286f…0bb4backed No74c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda36…0a9cbacked No74c19.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8004…0af6backed No74c19.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fba…e0f1backed No74c19.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked No74c19.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…f161backed No74c19.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf129…6899backed No74c19.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.961080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d96…1bdcbacked No74c19.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b8…ab23backed No74c18.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…790fbacked No74c18.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…2524backed No74c18.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f38…c357backed No74c18.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aab…bce3backed No74c18.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3f…240bbacked No74c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…47e8backed No74c18.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94f…76afbacked No74c17.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0c…d56fbacked No74c17.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb02…865dbacked No74c17.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…2be6backed No74c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+80.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8288…f291backed No74c17.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked No74c17.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb228…d3c5backed No74c17.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64e…793dbacked No74c17.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073e…cf8bbacked No74c16.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a98…13cabacked No75c16.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.