TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c8,524$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6431,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No77c6,455$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No77c5,350$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c3,487$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.6852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes23c3,403$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.691020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes10c3,154$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c3,050$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73210521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No78c1,751$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.874770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c1,506$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No77c1,344$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.124751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes23c1,248$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2873138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c1,029$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed No77c744.04$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes7c480$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked No78c377.94$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.15560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes13c350$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed No77c338.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c318.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No77c311.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6914045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3deb…c6b6backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Yes24c225.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No76c199.95$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes21c196.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.372540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed No78c163.77$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.035100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed No77c152.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eef…e982backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes23c129.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes13c98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No76c96.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfead…f7bdbacked Yes23c63.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9e…404abacked Yes24c63.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a24…be88backed Yes24c59.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf20…1715backed Yes24c58.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aea…9f4dbacked Yes24c57.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…1361backed Yes23c57.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe698…b940backed Yes24c57.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb44…1c0dbacked Yes24c56.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbd…eeabbacked Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbeb7…c2e9backed Yes24c54.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191b…4c08backed Yes24c54.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc89…2cd0backed Yes24c53.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286f…0bb4backed Yes24c51.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No76c50.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8818245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d8…30d9backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No76c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.839661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No76c49.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.874537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No77c48.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4310960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2aa…7f1abacked Yes23c48.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x277b…2baabacked Yes23c47.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98e…e2ccbacked Yes24c46.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c46…fcd6backed Yes23c44.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked Yes24c43.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked No78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.289467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.973966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No77c25.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.883060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No77c25.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.889767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c14…c5fdbacked No77c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89f…0034backed No77c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cb…f219backed No77c23.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8e…3468backed No77c21.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.046254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…e06ebacked No77c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481650%8 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3a…243bbacked No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1669…7a9dbacked No77c18.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72cf…eec6backed No77c18.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.