TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95d9…ab03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Chess, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.18
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.74
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.72
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$238.56
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.96
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.18
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.24
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,341.86
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 23 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+161.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+580.8%+$3,980.06
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.7
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.3
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+4,066.7%+$487.99
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.28
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.2
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.25
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.17
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.18
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+90.4%+$31.81
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$63.97
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57.98
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119.38
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$71.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.79
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50.75
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.19
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.81
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$73.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$105.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$68.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.