TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,596,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,502,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,596,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c245,405$27,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,687.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes10c116,054$11,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,605.456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c94,574$11,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,137.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Yes10c48,211$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c42,326$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.5978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes23c37,628$8,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,608.6112210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes11c30,000$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.488521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes10c29,981$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.11567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes15c25,988$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.9312810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes23c21,602$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes10c17,030$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes10c16,965$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.59218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes10c14,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes10c11,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes10c11,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes10c10,277$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.7519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes10c9,717$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes10c9,643$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.32826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Yes10c9,524$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8622338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes22c8,600$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.721833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes10c7,922$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+562.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes17c7,340$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.238913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes9c6,699$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes22c6,669$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes10c6,140$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6141735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes12c6,051$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.851,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes10c6,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes9c5,854$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.417229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes10c5,439$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9335229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e7…7497backed Yes11c5,167$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes11c5,110$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.126835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes22c5,023$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.91,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes22c4,984$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.0698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes9c4,219$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.397622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Yes10c3,800$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes10c3,535$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c3,348$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes10c3,300$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes9c3,250$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.522730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes10c3,248$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33034924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Yes22c3,200$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes10c3,100$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes5c3,065$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.052,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes10c2,600$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes14c2,497$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabc9…cb40backed Yes8c2,399$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.921526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Yes23c2,391$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4671…da69backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes10c2,327$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23420816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes12c2,172$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0817329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes15c2,023$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.818128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012744.1%56 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd591…3a2abacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes17c1,993$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.511,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.863119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8629017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes10c1,800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes12c1,790$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Yes10c1,750$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+336.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No77c1,684$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes10c1,647$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes10c1,598$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes15c1,574$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d15…7a94backed Yes15c1,572$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.671216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Yes10c1,533$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2822436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…1b98backed Yes10c1,532$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes10c1,519$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.92,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c0…cf74backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.987821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes10c1,383$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.276414.1%9 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes21c1,285$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.571329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e3…3268backed No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.055050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes10c1,230$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes9c1,217$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6734238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes10c1,202$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4233237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.