Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6acc7928525382aac574be454e44cbc5f6867ba11054ba1e227cd4ec350c5fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,608,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,392,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,608,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 261,360$20,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,182.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 3c | 120,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 7c | 68,493$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 52,271$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.64 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 47,624$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 3c | 39,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 7c | 28,579$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.17 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 3c | 15,385$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 6c | 15,197$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.1 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 10c | 13,411$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.59 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 12,800$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed Yes | 8c | 12,672$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 12,647$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.37 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,161$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 21c | 9,422$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 6c | 9,000$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…6813backed Yes | 2c | 8,577$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,692$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 7,617$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 6c | 6,832$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 9c | 5,582$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes | 39c | 5,230$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 40c | 5,187$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.87 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 12c | 5,094$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.95 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,486$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 2c | 4,453$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,312$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.82 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 4,217$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,183$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 4c | 3,753$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes | 3c | 3,701$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 8c | 3,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…d34dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,964$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,915$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 8c | 2,904$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 18c | 2,877$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.93 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 6c | 2,858$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,715$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 19c | 2,700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.42 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,684$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 2,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…da69backed Yes | 7c | 2,472$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,396$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 2,386$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.49 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 2,300$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…a3d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 6c | 2,143$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 2,077$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -95.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 23.1%50 W · 166 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…16bdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,973$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 1,966$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 8c | 1,924$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes | 9c | 1,915$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,914$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,903$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 2c | 1,773$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Yes | 30c | 1,750$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…20a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,739$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…7a94backed Yes | 2c | 1,738$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 6c | 1,687$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 10c | 1,628$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,541$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,416$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,415$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72c…3c88backed Yes | 7c | 1,408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,394$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,373$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…1a14backed Yes | 7c | 1,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,298$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,286$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…a98ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,248$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 8c | 1,247$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 2c | 1,203$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…c9c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 2c | 1,182$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 9c | 1,148$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 9c | 1,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.