TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5277…b271

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.37
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$938.46
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.21
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.57
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$151.7
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.83
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,496.82
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$945.63
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.2
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,740.6%+$1,044.35
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: IK Start 0 - 2 Rosenborg BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.96
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 2 - 3 Halmstads BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 3 - 2 Halmstads BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 3 - 3 Halmstads BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BK Hacken leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
Exact Score: Orgryte IS 2 - 3 BK Hacken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Aalesunds FK 2 - 3 Molde FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Spread: AIK (-1.5)backed AIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.04
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,862.5
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.38
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 1 - 2 Tigres de la UANL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Tigres de la UANL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 3 - 0 Tigres de la UANL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 2 - 2 Tigres de la UANL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$167.31
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$108.44
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$388.36
Santos FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$174.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$440.48
Will FK BATE Barysaŭ win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.5
MŠK Žilina vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$756.38
Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.4
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.