TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$876,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$997,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c54,748$36,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,192.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over39c44,396$17,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,915.664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under61c32,139$19,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,739.6617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over33c27,947$9,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,724.7114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Over32c25,000$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,091.728521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over32c23,711$7,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,123.4821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c21,802$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,010.673,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Over33c21,002$6,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,168.236546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c20,214$13,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,583.141,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under6c16,084$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Under66c14,264$9,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,414.456053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c12,511$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8619218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c12,094$8,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,243.241,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under67c12,000$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,04029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over23c11,400$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,770.963625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c10,863$7,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,331.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c10,833$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c10,519$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under68c9,001$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,140.0540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over25c8,801$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.8719329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under60c8,627$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,146.799440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Under68c8,573$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,829.782123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under68c7,850$5,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,337.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Under69c7,045$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over31c6,733$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.911,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under67c6,500$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,329.9186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under67c6,036$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.6630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over67c5,991$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.869740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over34c5,882$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.3531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under68c5,669$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.0697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over32c5,186$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.528243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over22c4,999$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.5515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under15c4,920$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.6234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under67c4,753$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.372,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Under11c4,711$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.642552%13 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under69c4,150$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.0175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.977549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c3,868$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.853,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under13c3,819$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1127931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over32c3,717$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.656445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under33c3,459$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over33c3,442$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.8335036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over32c3,404$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.197533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over32c3,333$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.4319037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e7…5124backed Under15c3,237$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.67616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed Under15c3,229$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under15c3,016$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under68c3,000$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c3,000$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.073,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under68c2,950$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.82751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under69c2,796$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under11c2,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under11c2,738$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0617827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64eb…6bcabacked Under15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001457.1%8 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.40per pick18cpaid+207.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under15c2,612$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Over31c2,554$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.353525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over32c2,344$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.7522749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under71c2,341$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.0919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Under68c2,271$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.447234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over33c2,270$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.6327032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under68c2,240$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.194639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Under3c2,200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584922.4%11 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick4cpaid+703%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under9c2,159$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under67c2,144$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.131,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over39c2,085$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.6214727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c2,064$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under38c2,007$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.271939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under2c2,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483013.3%4 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick2cpaid+622.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under19c1,924$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.4550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under65c1,921$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.4437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over32c1,919$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.754639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under68c1,918$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.233,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over39c1,847$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.0544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under15c1,833$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4346012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over32c1,731$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.2532922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under11c1,666$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.742126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under9c1,632$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.311126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under61c1,615$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under3c1,596$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8412429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under68c1,590$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.8141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over25c1,547$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.6226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Over33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.156950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c1,458$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under66c1,458$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8425643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under72c1,442$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.371,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under68c1,404$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.8970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Under73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.