Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614400a73a24f05870af4b824d1c28b0d22a0765ef31e868ea1d57ca87ccfb33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Spain, Belgium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Spain | 5c | 29,675$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.13 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain | 5c | 15,598$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Spain | 6c | 8,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spain | 3c | 4,896$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Spain | 6c | 4,836$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Spain | 6c | 4,714$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.06 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…344ebacked Spain | 6c | 3,853$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…4a42backed Spain | 6c | 3,541$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Spain | 6c | 3,498$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain | 6c | 3,289$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Spain | 5c | 3,037$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Spain | 5c | 2,467$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spain | 6c | 1,698$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d825backed Spain | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Spain | 3c | 1,532$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spain | 6c | 1,454$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spain | 5c | 1,112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spain | 6c | 1,024$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Spain | 6c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Spain | 6c | 800.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fcf2backed Spain | 5c | 770$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Spain | 5c | 739.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Spain | 5c | 638.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Spain | 6c | 629.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…eaa6backed Spain | 6c | 538.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Spain | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain | 6c | 499.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Spain | 6c | 428.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…e04cbacked Spain | 6c | 424$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Spain | 6c | 373.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Spain | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Spain | 6c | 323.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spain | 5c | 280.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…7221backed Spain | 6c | 238$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.