TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c33,956$24,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,200.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under69c16,850$11,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,626.414349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over30c14,098$4,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,868.5677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c8,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c6,821$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.881,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under2c6,500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under2c5,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c4,800$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c3,269$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over31c2,979$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.518938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under10c2,045$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Over31c1,800$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2424327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under67c1,575$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.3286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c1,566$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c1,063$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under7c1,021$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.439525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c973.87$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over31c678.7$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.318448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick3cpaid-64.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125217.3%9 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+525.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under70c545.29$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20725639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over73c280.36$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6338960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f55…4178backed Over20c257$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.085547.3%26 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x046b…558fbacked Over31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.811050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+227.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under13c216.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7321630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13857252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c186$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.622,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c186$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c186$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under78c179.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over31c154.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.847533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under13c153.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.525246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5212244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under68c149.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.971,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c139.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.592,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over33c139.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.395044%22 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49f…9f01backed Under80c125.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over32c118.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.758846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under69c117.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0566056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Over13c112.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c112.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over31c106.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4519241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.778957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c82.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.182,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Over33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.67230.6%22 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over20c72.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.711,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under68c71.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.761,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…c181backed Under78c64.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-77.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over21c63.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.114327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over33c58.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2665253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over31c54.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8413736.5%50 W · 87 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over33c53.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under45c50.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.583412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x7ffa…d06bbacked Over28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.513438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c20…a6d7backed Over31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under66c47.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over31c46.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.923112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Over33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4517231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bc…bef3backed Over31c39.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef6…3a9cbacked Over32c39.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.563740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Under70c38.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over31c37.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under70c34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under68c32.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4325857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under69c29.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.691,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Under69c27.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under70c27.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…e1cabacked Under80c24.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Under68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e5…5052backed Under70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Under61c21.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77355.7%2 W · 33 L-16.1wins-0.46per pick52cpaid-91.8%equal weight20-0.27 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c20.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under68c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…a7b0backed Under70c15.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.658756.3%49 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.