Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4647d0f97565f60a9331c203140ab854a26758f8d35321b9e88c179d97619f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $828,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $876,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 31c | 149,998$46,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,499.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 69c | 67,292$46,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,862.73 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Under | 32c | 60,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.97 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 63c | 53,400$33,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,805.06 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 69c | 44,532$30,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,026.89 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Over | 69c | 38,085$26,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,851.27 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 32,737$11,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,522.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Over | 69c | 28,696$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,895.65 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Under | 37c | 18,119$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.54 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf329…ea10backed Under | 32c | 16,125$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 32c | 13,264$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 68c | 12,349$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.57 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 12,200$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.1 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 2c | 12,076$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 10,143$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.21 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 32c | 9,948$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 68c | 9,516$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 31c | 7,762$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.22 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 7,094$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fcf2backed Over | 69c | 7,070$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 69c | 6,600$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 70c | 5,949$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.33 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 66c | 5,873$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.58 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 5,422$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Under | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Under | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Over | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 4,878$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.38 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…f538backed Under | 32c | 4,375$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 69c | 4,080$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.62 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Over | 68c | 4,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Over | 69c | 3,775$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.31 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Under | 50c | 3,587$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 46c | 3,582$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.56 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 69c | 3,573$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.71 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 69c | 3,492$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.4 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 69c | 3,261$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.87 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 32c | 3,106$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.79 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 30c | 3,037$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…3326backed Under | 32c | 2,629$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.7 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…dc43backed Over | 69c | 2,610$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 2,560$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.59 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…100cbacked Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Over | 69c | 2,308$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.66 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Over | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.8 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Over | 47c | 2,010$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.3 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 3c | 2,001$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Over | 49c | 1,991$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Under | 32c | 1,953$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 55c | 1,886$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.3 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 69c | 1,869$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…74d2backed Under | 3c | 1,868$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Under | 32c | 1,859$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 68c | 1,755$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.16 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…2839backed Over | 62c | 1,746$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 4c | 1,599$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 69c | 1,590$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Under | 32c | 1,567$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 1,556$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 4c | 1,554$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.97 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 51c | 1,375$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.53 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Under | 32c | 1,332$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.25 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 69c | 1,318$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.77 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…534ebacked Under | 31c | 1,270$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 40c | 1,211$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 47c | 1,166$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.56 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 69c | 1,153$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Over | 69c | 1,151$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.14 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 70c | 1,149$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.61 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 70c | 1,144$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.31 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 30c | 1,125$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Under | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 69c | 1,083$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 7c | 1,067$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed Over | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Over | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 63c | 999.97$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 996.76$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 1c | 991.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 44c | 991.14$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.66 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Under | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 932.75$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.59 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Under | 31c | 903.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.16 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 5c | 859.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Over | 69c | 837.68$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 63c | 834.96$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Under | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.