TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,297 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x074c…771cbacked Under57c1,762$1,000 inWon+$762.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under59c1,542$903 inWon+$639.1817642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c1,516$680 inLost-$679.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over43c973.2$418 inLost-$417.671,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c577.07$335 inWon+$242.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over43c474$204 inLost-$203.8212344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c453.5$190 inLost-$190.4775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over49c391.8$192 inLost-$191.5912235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac16…6c6abacked Over35c300$105 inLost-$1054944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over52c286.38$150 inLost-$15024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over43c250$108 inLost-$107.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over43c234$100 inLost-$100.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under49c194.72$95 inWon+$99.3121630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under47c154.14$72 inWon+$81.692,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b9…8682backed Over43c139.53$60 inLost-$609924.2%24 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over42c119.21$50 inLost-$5014042.1%59 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under44c110.67$49 inWon+$61.4717229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3907…e2d0backed Over15c99.99$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…ff1ebacked Over43c76.95$33 inLost-$33.0960%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under48c53.52$26 inWon+$27.9243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Over39c44.79$17 inLost-$17.473154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over39c40.88$16 inLost-$15.9415859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c40$19 inWon+$21.3316344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over27c37.62$10 inLost-$10.163412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over42c36$15 inLost-$15.1213438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…cb3bbacked Under64c28.48$18 inWon+$10.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over41c27.98$11 inLost-$11.4726047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under49c24.48$12 inWon+$12.489064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.