Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c11730cc97bf2bf0ad3a9059b8d203f440d6d130406d8f9e4c6b690b504fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 3c | 103,192$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.03 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 2c | 102,243$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.89 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 17,228$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 15,866$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 2c | 12,041$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Over | 2c | 10,753$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 2c | 10,211$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 2c | 8,675$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…4fdebacked Over | 2c | 5,486$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 2c | 5,365$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 2c | 4,669$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 2c | 4,452$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 3c | 3,818$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…dca1backed Over | 3c | 3,480$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 3c | 3,480$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over | 4c | 3,393$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 2c | 2,765$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 2c | 2,238$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Over | 3c | 1,977$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 1c | 1,399$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 2c | 1,334$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 3c | 1,074$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c5ebacked Over | 2c | 1,044$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 3c | 1,031$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 2c | 940.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 2c | 799.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 2c | 757.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 2c | 585.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…2556backed Over | 3c | 534.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fce…efd4backed Over | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…f042backed Over | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…7064backed Over | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.