TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa209…ffbebacked Over1c52,308$706 inLost-$706.2659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Over7c10,719$772 inLost-$772.182119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Over8c10,223$818 inLost-$817.851315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over1c5,192$71 inLost-$70.6219944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over7c4,234$296 inLost-$296.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over8c3,625$286 inLost-$285.7417747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over3c2,000$50 inLost-$5011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over6c2,000$120 inLost-$1201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over6c1,480$86 inLost-$86.337711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…e6a5backed Over7c1,190$83 inLost-$83.28825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over1c1,044$14 inLost-$14.1413956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over4c695$29 inLost-$29.191,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285e…f38cbacked Over8c625$50 inLost-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over8c431.66$33 inLost-$3310911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over6c382$23 inLost-$22.9232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over3c379$10 inLost-$10.1869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Over6c379$23 inLost-$22.742825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0453…61b6backed Over5c358.4$18 inLost-$17.922334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over7c334.02$22 inLost-$21.9226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over9c326.77$29 inLost-$29.471,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over6c303.38$18 inLost-$18.216449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over8c300$25 inLost-$24.943819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over6c266.84$16 inLost-$16.0129813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…3e76backed Over9c228.7$21 inLost-$21219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over9c204.63$19 inLost-$198331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Over7c200$14 inLost-$147744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Over6c200$12 inLost-$122222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over19c182$35 inLost-$35.0517533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over9c162.23$15 inLost-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over7c151$11 inLost-$10.573112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$1019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.