Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331307bf98d37e00f004c82973d4ded2219b36427f7f65b6bbac2dacfeaf05b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 31c | 1,750$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.6 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 32c | 1,276$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.01 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 1,126$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Over | 67c | 999.36$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 878.83$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 71c | 717.06$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…c697backed Under | 28c | 555$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 31c | 446.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Over | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…2b93backed Over | 69c | 97.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Under | 31c | 97.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 31c | 91.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 30c | 69.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 30c | 61.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 27c | 55.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…eae1backed Over | 75c | 46.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b73backed Over | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Over | 75c | 40.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…7a46backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…003abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…7f7fbacked Over | 70c | 26.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 66c | 25.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…607bbacked Over | 68c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.