Spread: Spain (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744df2cb98d5dd869623f254c6bdfb167c9caf1e5dd16732106cb61b2d4bc577

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof Spain, Belgium
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,483,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,372,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,483,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf32…3b90backed Spain	35c	2,817,064$994,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994,423.53	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…7320backed Belgium	65c	2,050,000$1,327,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722,500	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Belgium	67c	879,098$584,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294,337.67	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Belgium	69c	456,848$316,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140,137.04	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x095f…90b2backed Belgium	66c	283,065$186,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,497.56	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Spain	34c	277,777$93,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,475.43	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Spain	35c	250,000$88,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,124.94	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium	65c	220,000$143,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,699.96	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Spain	24c	199,282$47,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,821.69	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Belgium	65c	160,902$104,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,637.01	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Spain	34c	134,328$45,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,000	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain	33c	122,583$40,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,803	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Spain	34c	121,526$41,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,298.08	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Belgium	65c	100,230$65,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,717.42	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Spain	34c	100,000$33,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,500.11	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Belgium	66c	99,366$65,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,062.04	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Spain	24c	88,010$21,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,273.73	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Spain	34c	78,540$26,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,703.43	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Belgium	66c	51,461$33,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,638.85	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium	73c	50,272$36,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,399.89	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Belgium	66c	49,514$32,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,710.86	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Spain	24c	45,375$10,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,682.22	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Belgium	66c	41,502$27,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,110.61	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Spain	33c	40,000$13,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,299.97	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Spain	35c	39,748$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,800.41	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Spain	34c	38,459$13,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,106.4	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Spain	29c	33,714$9,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,751.93	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Belgium	66c	33,290$21,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,303.79	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Spain	34c	29,630$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf924…a0ccbacked Spain	34c	29,061$9,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,735.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Spain	24c	28,967$6,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,928.99	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Spain	24c	28,429$6,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,891.71	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Spain	36c	28,000$10,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,010	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Belgium	74c	26,332$19,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,970.71	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain	26c	25,810$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750.08	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spain	24c	25,000$5,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,875	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Spain	34c	24,152$8,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,179	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Belgium	65c	23,050$14,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,182.68	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Belgium	65c	22,601$14,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,023.43	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Spain	34c	22,055$7,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,412.24	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8517backed Belgium	65c	21,794$14,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,557.59	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Belgium	66c	20,000$13,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,749.97	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Spain	34c	18,888$6,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,421.92	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Spain	34c	17,647$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45f1…131dbacked Belgium	76c	17,573$13,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,163.08	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Spain	34c	17,436$5,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,971.83	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Spain	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.98	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+86%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Spain	33c	15,000$4,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,987.47	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Spain	24c	14,621$3,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,528.38	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Belgium	65c	13,110$8,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,558.48	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium	69c	13,057$9,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,020.89	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Spain	34c	12,912$4,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,435.93	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain	34c	12,545$4,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,273.02	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…76dfbacked Belgium	66c	12,312$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,211.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Belgium	66c	12,121$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,121.21	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Belgium	66c	12,043$7,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,104.36	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Belgium	66c	12,000$7,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,024.94	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Belgium	66c	11,890$7,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050.54	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Belgium	65c	9,675$6,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,410.76	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain	22c	9,504$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.2	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Spain	34c	9,366$3,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,184.29	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Spain	32c	9,300$2,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.25	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2600…ea13backed Spain	54c	9,271$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Spain	34c	9,000$3,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,069.77	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Spain	33c	8,955$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Spain	28c	8,795$2,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465.01	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Spain	10c	8,785$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.64	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Spain	33c	8,456$2,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,777.87	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Spain	36c	8,312$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,980.05	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	32c	8,254$2,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,663.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Spain	35c	8,179$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Belgium	44c	8,012$3,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,450.85	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spain	35c	7,850$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,767.25	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed Spain	34c	7,750$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,635.25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Belgium	66c	7,547$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,547.17	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Belgium	66c	7,500$4,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,543.75	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Spain	28c	7,438$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.64	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Spain	35c	7,387$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,588.11	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Belgium	65c	7,266$4,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,568.43	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Belgium	65c	7,115$4,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,463.58	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083b…f54abacked Spain	34c	6,824$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Spain	34c	6,667$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Belgium	66c	6,618$4,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,252.47	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa5…e160backed Belgium	66c	6,350$4,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,172.36	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	24c	6,320$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.69	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Spain	25c	6,001$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.25	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Spain	18c	6,000$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spain	35c	6,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c3f…e87cbacked Spain	34c	6,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Belgium	66c	6,000$3,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,055	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Spain	35c	5,987$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110.27	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…4ac1backed Spain	34c	5,926$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Spain	33c	5,727$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Spain	35c	5,634$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Spain	54c	5,482$2,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,982.48	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spain	25c	5,355$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Belgium	62c	5,230$3,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,976	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spain	24c	5,229$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.76	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Spain	26c	5,172$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.74	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Belgium	65c	5,141$3,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.88	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event