TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf924…a0cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.01
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.48
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,532.48
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$9,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,651.88
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,070.69
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,867.74
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.17
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$791
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Gironbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.98
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,743Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$773.54
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$1,112.32
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.9
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$338.75
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.65
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,293.41
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$7,764.71
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$521.21
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,985.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,102.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.