Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544f298f970f73caa896c26d33ee57dc16fab5f675a512a57204f5d2d4c8d91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibraltarof Gibraltar, Cayman Islands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gibraltar | 51c | 3,978$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cayman Islands | 43c | 3,157$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…a0ccbacked Cayman Islands | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cayman Islands | 52c | 2,041$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.33 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cayman Islands | 42c | 1,838$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.75 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Gibraltar | 58c | 1,699$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.69 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Gibraltar | 57c | 1,250$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Gibraltar | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gibraltar | 49c | 669.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.52 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gibraltar | 53c | 540.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gibraltar | 38c | 538.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Gibraltar | 59c | 498$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cayman Islands | 43c | 469.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gibraltar | 61c | 268.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Gibraltar | 58c | 243.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cayman Islands | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cayman Islands | 55c | 214.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Gibraltar | 53c | 165.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Gibraltar | 60c | 161.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Cayman Islands | 41c | 159.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Gibraltar | 73c | 159.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cayman Islands | 31c | 157$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cayman Islands | 42c | 155.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cayman Islands | 42c | 146.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Cayman Islands | 16c | 99.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cayman Islands | 59c | 84.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Gibraltar | 49c | 83.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Cayman Islands | 44c | 83.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cayman Islands | 60c | 83.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cayman Islands | 60c | 83.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Gibraltar | 56c | 70.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Gibraltar | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cayman Islands | 40c | 50.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cayman Islands | 42c | 45.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cayman Islands | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gibraltar | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Gibraltar | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Gibraltar | 59c | 33.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Gibraltar | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Cayman Islands | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Gibraltar | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Gibraltar | 59c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cayman Islands | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Cayman Islands | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5503…30a6backed Gibraltar | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Cayman Islands | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Gibraltar | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Cayman Islands | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Gibraltar | 58c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gibraltar | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Gibraltar | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)this page
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cayman Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.