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Fifa International · resolved market

Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under57c17,000$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,689.973754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over43c15,460$6,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,813.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c9,193$3,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,239.8459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c3,843$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c2,500$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over42c1,113$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.6615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under58c999.98$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over58c991.36$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c915.38$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.778032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c777.61$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.22,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c737.33$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.443,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over42c660.78$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c607.68$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34222041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under58c599.96$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under59c537.21$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c520.68$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under35c427.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under58c412.76$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.411065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over42c407.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.539548.4%46 W · 49 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under57c407$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over42c394.71$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under58c380.66$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over43c351.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.737237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under57c344$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.087634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c311$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.882,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over67c300$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c284.2$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over68c264.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Under59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under58c240$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c237.33$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6925865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5619746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under47c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under57c208$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5618435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under57c197.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.761,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c194$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under58c186$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8811135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Under58c168.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.652536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over42c157.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1417145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under33c152.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over65c137.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over59c134.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1819047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4851859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under57c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.212252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over44c106.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.777245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cc…8c45backed Under57c104.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.380%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over70c101.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c100.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.311,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2425727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under28c91.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under34c76.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0612146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…8c45backed Over42c64.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c58.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.854348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over42c49.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9343635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over42c47.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3420330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over43c43.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.846562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under57c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0339746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.966025%15 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over41c39.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…da26backed Over60c37.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over42c34.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8213844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1715059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over68c33.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7919742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under59c30.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.027055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under58c30.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.539463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.814042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under59c27.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.531550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over73c27.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.432959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Under58c26.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under50c25.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7811450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.256355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa541…7aefbacked Under62c24.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Under56c21.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under54c21.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over60c19.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8619064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under56c19.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Over58c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8217154.4%93 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Over68c18.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8119069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.