Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb544154e83be51bc273a4d58e4cdf33087b288bc8962bf63d270f6a4f50dfd8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 1,974$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 65c | 1,948$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.93 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 65c | 1,362$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.01 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 27c | 1,307$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 926.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 717.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 35c | 646.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 521$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 36c | 509.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 65c | 335.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 331.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 330.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 223.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 36c | 211.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 64c | 149.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 64c | 148.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 36c | 139$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 20c | 101.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 65c | 92.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 65c | 38.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 35.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 35.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cayman Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.