Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1679f96b04f0b59404747cb29168af2fd6a8981f001f833006d204fe95232095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 40c | 3,500$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,014$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 74c | 2,701$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 2,007$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 11c | 1,947$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,346$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 76c | 924.56$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 73c | 690.65$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 653.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 635.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 77c | 458.86$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Over | 12c | 397.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 60c | 344.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 11c | 339.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 4c | 326.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 23c | 315.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 25c | 299.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 23c | 202.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Under | 72c | 177.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 61c | 161.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 34c | 147.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Under | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 78c | 128.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 76c | 79.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 77.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 52c | 75.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 71.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 28c | 69.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Over | 42c | 58.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 60c | 51.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Over | 47c | 49.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 46.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…cc49backed Under | 76c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 77c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 55c | 25.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…2e4ebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…cd92backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cayman Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.