TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c47…fc6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$418.3
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.91
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$21.14
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$6.6
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.06
Switzerland to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$81.73
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.81
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+389.3%+$204.34
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+640.3%+$422.18
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.16
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.52
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$22.29
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.1
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.39
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$36.68
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$37.15
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$58.27
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$63.51
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$134.49
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$17.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+98%+$15.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+54%+$52.5
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$12.26
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.68
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$115.04
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.8
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.6
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$6.57
Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+557.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+1,559.7%+$1,895.48
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advancebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.94
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+230.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 2 - 1 FC Vaduz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$33.21
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$176.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$18.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.