TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,238 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under15c800.56$124 inLost-$123.512954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1207…9795backed Under19c500$95 inLost-$95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under6c499.99$30 inLost-$30498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under21c428.57$90 inLost-$9012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under16c387.65$64 inLost-$63.7125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under19c263.16$50 inLost-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under14c162.62$23 inLost-$22.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631e…c145backed Under20c150$30 inLost-$302218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under19c150$29 inLost-$28.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under20c144.56$29 inLost-$28.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under16c125$20 inLost-$208350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over80c125$100 inWon+$2523951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over80c116.76$93 inWon+$23.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under19c97.78$19 inLost-$18.953,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under20c78.59$15 inLost-$15.481,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under18c65.04$12 inLost-$11.5262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under18c58.63$11 inLost-$10.831,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ac…f5d4backed Over80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over79c20$16 inWon+$4.228251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.