TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof Spain, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain5c31,482$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain4c19,812$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7951,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Spain22c13,659$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.887237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Spain3c13,225$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.217748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spain3c11,219$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.121,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spain7c10,257$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.032650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Spain3c10,191$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+319.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Spain23c10,000$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.189839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Spain3c7,435$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spain6c5,923$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain4c5,871$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked France78c5,626$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.3912854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spain3c5,383$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Spain19c5,197$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spain8c5,107$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain6c5,021$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Spain3c5,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spain3c4,839$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.482,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Spain3c4,822$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.121850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Spain5c4,693$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4484738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Spain4c4,629$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.21,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain21c4,568$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain3c3,876$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2410…c0cdbacked Spain1c2,886$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Spain22c2,715$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecb…8296backed Spain11c2,664$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked France78c2,512$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.187865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Spain3c2,050$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Spain11c1,874$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9883…4ac1backed Spain22c1,674$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spain19c1,670$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Spain3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010135.6%36 W · 65 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Spain28c1,605$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.3420646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Spain5c1,500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.546230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spain24c1,423$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain14c1,365$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.744,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed France51c1,322$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France78c1,314$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.262,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Spain8c1,296$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9927466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Spain7c1,175$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed4…7759backed France79c1,100$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed France77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302979.3%23 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd886…5b12backed France79c944.76$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Spain4c928.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.731,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain6c924.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Spain22c913.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Spain16c895$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1358530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Spain22c830.71$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Spain19c815.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6327543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spain13c798.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.551,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Spain12c769.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed Spain3c735.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Spain17c698.34$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.168746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Spain3c645.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Spain16c644.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Spain3c625$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab7…5b3ebacked Spain3c625$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spain3c608.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Spain3c593.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spain8c590$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Spain14c566.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6325328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed France66c541.51$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7517659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Spain19c531.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spain3c506.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Spain20c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.654917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spain22c499.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Spain55c471.85$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Spain3c455.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9215144.4%67 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Spain19c427.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.016749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c33…412ebacked Spain17c417.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x066b…e07ebacked Spain4c416.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Spain14c382.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.081,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked France76c372.66$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.731,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spain3c359.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Spain13c358.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4124849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Spain3c333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Spain3c329.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain3c320.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a5…d45abacked Spain3c312.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c66…afb9backed Spain3c312.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Spain4c312$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.486114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Spain49c309.46$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5213750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Spain4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1c…eb60backed France45c293.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.295257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Spain7c277.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.146540%26 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3211…b46dbacked Spain19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2572…a8a7backed Spain19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503030%9 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spain5c259.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Spain10c255.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spain19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.957541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Spain18c187.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3466932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Spain22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked France45c177$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.353050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Spain13c173.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5926459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x677d…ae46backed Spain12c170.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France78c167.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Spain22c159.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Spain18c151$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.721233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Spain17c150.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Spain21c143.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.