TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c143,585$105,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,433.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under27c39,713$10,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,722.510056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under26c30,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9313330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under27c29,304$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,911.975234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under29c10,087$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.2217748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under25c7,683$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.6333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under19c6,829$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.6341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under24c5,302$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.1130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c4,746$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under28c4,271$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c4,057$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under26c2,833$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under27c2,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.883,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c2,500$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under3c2,381$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7238…c31fbacked Over77c2,020$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over73c1,802$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.051,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under26c1,787$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c1,449$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over73c1,442$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.841,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Over73c1,350$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.491957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under27c1,284$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over77c1,131$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3546562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Under27c1,100$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Under25c999.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9917845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under26c894.79$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.652,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over76c880.79$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over70c653.57$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.071,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under21c627.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.511,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked Over75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.336836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under26c499.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under26c499.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9928945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfe…b081backed Over72c499.92$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c496.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.023,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under29c447.18$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.591,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over75c430$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.521955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…da6ebacked Under26c420$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.26045%27 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413582.9%29 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c399.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.442,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over72c368.64$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2220724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over72c367.34$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over78c347$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5724540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under14c297.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2525328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under27c251$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7728545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c250.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.612,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under20c245.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.894839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under29c239.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Under27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509446.8%44 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f93…d848backed Over74c192.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.832263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over74c188.08$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.651,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under13c179.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.466932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over76c178$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.942,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under26c177.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.071,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Under25c164.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1611834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under26c158$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2816344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over74c147.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over73c145.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over73c145.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7332158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under13c144.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under14c144$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.072,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under25c143$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under27c141$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.071,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over79c140.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.999348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1435251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb59…6ca3backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1415952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312661.9%78 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3328134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over73c128.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.593158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48b…fdc2backed Over73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under28c110.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9348937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Over74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.115777.2%44 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3439…9810backed Under28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…8462backed Under31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040%64 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over73c95.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7111749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over72c92.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Over72c86.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8913044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x386c…fe39backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd3…69bebacked Over73c76.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7814658.2%85 W · 61 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010843.5%47 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee6…d412backed Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208343.4%36 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c68.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.