TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc374…cee1backed Over59c610.17$360 inLost-$3603441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under40c600.01$240 inWon+$360.017945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under41c532.12$218 inWon+$313.9585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Under41c499.98$205 inWon+$294.9918843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost-$20012235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c331$216 inLost-$215.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Under29c250.26$73 inWon+$177.73135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under42c229.88$97 inWon+$133.381,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked Under41c213$87 inWon+$125.676233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5177…7715backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost-$1008923.6%21 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under40c155.75$62 inWon+$93.282,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c132.36$78 inLost-$77.8375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over24c113.58$27 inLost-$27.391,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under40c100.81$40 inWon+$60.482828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over60c100$60 inLost-$6023429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…760fbacked Over59c79.75$47 inLost-$47.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4a…7a46backed Over60c79.5$48 inLost-$47.76152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under40c64.74$26 inWon+$38.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over60c59.96$36 inLost-$35.893161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Under42c59.86$25 inWon+$34.722254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ed…3895backed Under42c59.45$25 inWon+$34.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee6f…92d9backed Over60c45.78$27 inLost-$27.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over59c27.46$16 inLost-$16.22,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under44c23.07$10 inWon+$12.9521565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under46c22.76$10 inWon+$12.2938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over71c22.54$16 inLost-$1616659.6%99 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4412…4a03backed Over66c21.66$14 inLost-$14.195641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over71c21.13$15 inLost-$1523062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over59c20.02$12 inLost-$11.811,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6621…22ccbacked Over71c19.72$14 inLost-$145754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299d…d9e6backed Over60c18.33$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.