TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$877,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$843,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $877,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c132,832$46,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,572.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Over67c67,962$45,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,221.184151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over51c63,391$32,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,139.2216947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c56,413$23,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,708.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c52,657$37,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,000.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Under21c50,063$10,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,560.668135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over79c45,912$36,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,190.9510959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c43,857$9,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,868.093,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over43c41,232$17,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,911.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c38,716$30,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,698.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c31,999$16,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,261.7542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under31c16,650$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,481.5117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c15,524$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,909.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under26c14,197$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,545.931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c13,164$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,245.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over61c12,862$7,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,831.8775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under34c12,352$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,152.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…dc43backed Under64c12,222$7,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under21c10,900$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,610.954746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc909…5c2fbacked Over80c10,573$8,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,458.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a62…ab67backed Over78c10,330$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…a222backed Under21c10,001$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,901.025100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+108.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80017852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3495…dca1backed Under21c9,930$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,844.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+74.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed Under20c9,840$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,823.482236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under26c9,465$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.0113259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c7,104$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,694.5230626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under20c7,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Over80c6,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under20c6,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80013330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Over80c5,990$4,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,791.8517959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…808abacked Over80c5,828$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under37c5,719$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.461,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…f051backed Over79c5,300$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7238…c31fbacked Over28c5,265$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c5,081$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Over79c5,063$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over79c5,032$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,95012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa922…aa8cbacked Over78c4,921$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over79c4,800$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.9837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c4,799$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Over15c4,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over80c4,172$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c3,932$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.422,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c3,463$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.781,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe41b…9397backed Over78c3,300$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under29c3,282$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.4720955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over70c3,188$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.754057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11b…9384backed Over78c3,170$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c3,010$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.7226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26da…3b4cbacked Over79c2,812$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.712277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over78c2,711$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.437140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Over44c2,700$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.5410851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Over80c2,690$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.998720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over79c2,658$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over79c2,642$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.42846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over79c2,532$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under21c2,521$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.5970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under20c2,500$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Over22c2,314$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.062653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under22c2,286$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.739752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over79c2,200$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under21c2,180$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.24639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under22c2,101$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.8817054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3203855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over78c1,986$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.3720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde6…228abacked Over76c1,956$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under30c1,900$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33077152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Over40c1,800$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7194856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under20c1,689$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c1,669$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…ba70backed Over79c1,646$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over69c1,554$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.328530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c1,537$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Over78c1,510$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over58c1,496$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over40c1,480$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over62c1,470$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9107754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c1,466$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.7797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…494bbacked Over79c1,432$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.213557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caf…6438backed Over80c1,367$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.852661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over18c1,313$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404663%29 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under45c1,298$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe98…85b1backed Over76c1,292$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Over78c1,290$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010065%65 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe1…6889backed Over78c1,285$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under40c1,273$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.82,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over71c1,268$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under20c1,260$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0084641.3%19 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under20c1,188$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.993,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe048…02edbacked Over79c1,146$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.342060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcb…c5afbacked Under57c1,132$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.78541.2%35 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over75c1,128$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9712544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over23c1,088$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.