TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof France, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$547,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdac7…6d53backed France7c150,001$10,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,062.549131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed France6c56,664$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked France6c54,794$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.1814553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed France7c30,769$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France7c30,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9917642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked France6c13,250$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.920427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked France6c8,450$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed France6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked France4c7,938$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed France7c7,166$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.551,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed France1c6,430$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked France6c6,180$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.33452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed France1c5,510$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.66939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed France6c5,250$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France6c5,000$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France6c4,850$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France6c4,348$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked France6c3,514$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked France6c3,478$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed France6c3,443$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed France6c3,412$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed France6c3,016$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.429114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked France7c3,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.516139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed France6c3,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed France6c2,487$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France7c2,454$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked France6c1,758$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.264037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked France6c1,739$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France5c1,725$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked France6c1,622$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.041,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed France6c1,570$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.281145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked France1c1,550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France6c1,500$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5d…12e7backed France6c1,446$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f21…7230backed France6c1,445$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…9b52backed France6c1,434$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe64…9b75backed France6c1,361$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France6c1,325$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x320b…0579backed France7c1,308$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked France6c1,018$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked France6c1,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed France7c999.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ee…978abacked France6c869.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-58.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked France6c824.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed France6c800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France7c740.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed France7c740.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506850%34 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed France7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France7c700$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked France7c694.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6443139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France6c647.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France6c642.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked France6c601.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0914430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed France4c568.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked France6c521.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed France3c502.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed France7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.536349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed France6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed France6c469.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France6c442.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f59…6a33backed France6c434.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e9…fe78backed France6c434.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-87.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed France6c400$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked France5c395.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked France8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014625.3%37 W · 109 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked France8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked France7c356.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8614842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52aa…505ebacked France6c347.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked France6c347.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010837%40 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3e…3918backed France6c320$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012546.4%58 W · 67 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed France8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked France4c311.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.486114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec47…0c22backed France6c301.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.353050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8dd…ddd2backed France6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.759137.4%34 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked France7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8187938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed France7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed France6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.254639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf692…8655backed France7c296.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed France7c288.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.024641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed France7c285$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510614.2%15 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed France7c275.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012020.8%25 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4453…fc75backed France6c247.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed France7c218.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2713943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974e…b7f9backed France7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked France7c210$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf26e…5067backed France6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked France7c189.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa91…91a0backed France8c184$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick25cpaid+101.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked France7c184$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked France6c179.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed France6c171.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed France7c164.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.014238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb676…48c7backed France8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.