TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a21…9318backed Under73c9,180$6,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7238…c31fbacked Over50c8,751$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under58c5,929$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under12c5,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4002330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8508435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under80c4,610$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under12c4,500$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9501323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed Under67c4,415$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c4,393$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over21c3,684$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under27c3,422$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.9732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c2,730$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed Under10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.99616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under80c1,992$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c1,989$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11dd…f832backed Under15c1,490$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.8650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+247.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd4d…3ac6backed Under15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.33540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+176.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd58…f7b5backed Under15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.33650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+247.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over25c1,248$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8511834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under72c1,234$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over40c1,205$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.7898439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick18cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+196.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over20c957.21$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.81,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over35c832.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.692,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under77c772.98$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under31c753$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.3145740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under76c689.54$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0117533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Over11c649.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over17c603.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under78c565.76$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.144839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over11c532.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over36c503.69$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.333754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under78c501.97$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under75c484.71$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under78c481.78$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.035666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under72c477.47$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over15c423.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.751,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over16c418.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…1d03backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under73c369.15$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over51c335.32$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.627755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under30c328.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.362,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over18c318.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under12c300.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0811114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under64c264$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under75c263.85$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over12c258.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2184…4c8ebacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over13c191.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8865253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over12c167.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012555.2%69 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032f…fad4backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203f…521ebacked Over22c142.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69258%2 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-84%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over12c141.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9715054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over38c141.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over19c138.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.014327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over22c136.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under63c133.52$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd76…d3d8backed Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c121.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over43c102.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1417460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Over38c102$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.766136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12150%0 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Over19c97.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Over42c95.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.996114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under17c92.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09b1…acb7backed Over41c91.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under68c88.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6111329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Over33c84.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.756942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9898…91b5backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b83…2eadbacked Over26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219328%26 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over37c78.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd479…0486backed Over36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c66.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c65.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under78c61.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.662,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.