TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9709…52abbacked Over10c2,500$250 inLost-$249.9619247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Over4c1,375$55 inLost-$554228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over10c999.99$100 inLost-$10054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c688.18$72 inLost-$728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over9c633$57 inLost-$56.971,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over6c609.35$37 inLost-$36.5677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over10c551.03$55 inLost-$54.965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over20c438.42$86 inLost-$86.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over17c420.49$70 inLost-$7028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over10c385.52$39 inLost-$38.551,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over5c382$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c374.84$30 inLost-$29.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b1…acb7backed Over10c350$35 inLost-$35560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over8c315.28$25 inLost-$25.21,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over9c299.99$27 inLost-$2729813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over11c224.92$25 inLost-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under80c186.85$149 inWon+$37.3746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…f7b1backed Over10c180.3$18 inLost-$18.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Over9c166.67$15 inLost-$1513528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over11c163.64$18 inLost-$1824935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over10c143.74$15 inLost-$1537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a9…c6febacked Over11c129.73$14 inLost-$13.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under34c61.93$21 inWon+$415141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over21c57.22$12 inLost-$11.7615325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under74c26.58$20 inWon+$7.0121565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.