TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$521,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under57c131,589$75,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,481.0777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over43c38,000$16,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,239.9923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c37,813$16,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,552.652,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over40c24,428$9,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,709.2678835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over36c23,078$8,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,374.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over43c22,342$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Under56c18,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.918135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under60c16,670$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.998450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c12,809$7,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,635.911,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2c…82b9backed Over44c11,355$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c11,088$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c10,451$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c9,559$6,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c9,070$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…5d86backed Over32c7,698$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.921656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under56c7,557$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.8913330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over19c7,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over44c7,006$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c5,978$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c5,616$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.1175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c5,615$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Over38c5,567$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0998028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under56c5,460$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.3197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over42c4,594$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.348156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over44c3,556$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.4710844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde5d…f4a2backed Over42c3,437$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…5a37backed Over44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013046.2%60 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c3,138$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.152,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over30c3,055$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Under70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c2,731$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.641,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…4d4bbacked Over44c2,616$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under56c2,497$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.6740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under71c2,222$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over19c2,186$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0917659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over44c2,070$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.978243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…47a0backed Over44c1,978$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.112755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under63c1,878$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.231,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under77c1,621$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa44…b7e6backed Over44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over31c1,518$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.821,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…c2c8backed Over43c1,485$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under74c1,482$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c1,465$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.7326841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under78c1,390$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6225643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Over44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c1,339$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c1,339$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c1,339$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.272,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under56c1,335$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.5919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over44c1,295$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.823540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over44c1,288$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.73517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over44c1,222$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.689467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over16c1,216$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x709f…9af9backed Over44c1,212$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Over15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b2…7142backed Over43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…ad68backed Over43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.791225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1578…ce4bbacked Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over45c1,123$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c1,107$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c1,102$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.383,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over40c1,086$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.214057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c1,040$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.471,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…8152backed Over44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Over42c904.76$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805628.6%16 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Over44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3965429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a98…bbd7backed Over46c880$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over39c784.15$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.829053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…54f5backed Over44c728.77$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under56c704.17$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2810142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30147127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under70c699.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.999752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6287…a1bfbacked Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over44c683.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over15c600$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.697724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over22c528.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7817747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over42c516.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21718742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Under56c511$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22020638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c495.55$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.