TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Franceof Spain, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain1c12,928$108 inLost-$107.9572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain1c12,380$119 inLost-$118.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Spain1c8,913$68 inLost-$68.1871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spain5c6,347$322 inLost-$322.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Spain7c5,662$400 inLost-$4009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spain1c5,511$49 inLost-$49.575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spain1c4,215$34 inLost-$34.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain2c3,750$60 inLost-$6024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Spain1c3,081$29 inLost-$28.5738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain1c2,785$25 inLost-$25.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Spain8c2,762$232 inLost-$232.217659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain4c2,463$92 inLost-$91.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Spain1c2,313$20 inLost-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Spain1c2,155$26 inLost-$25.854422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Spain2c2,000$30 inLost-$3031232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab7…5b3ebacked Spain1c1,937$20 inLost-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spain1c1,473$11 inLost-$11.451,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spain1c1,274$12 inLost-$11.831,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…fdd9backed Spain1c1,264$11 inLost-$11.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spain4c1,000$36 inLost-$3615418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Spain3c1,000$30 inLost-$301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Spain6c327.59$19 inLost-$194311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Spain10c198.01$20 inLost-$2025328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.