TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79fb…47a0backed Over53c568.15$300 inWon+$268.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under48c250$120 inLost-$12041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under19c246.89$47 inLost-$46.9112954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf110…218ebacked Over59c238.14$140 inWon+$98.145457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under46c213.15$98 inLost-$98.0577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under41c208.14$85 inLost-$85.3458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under45c180$81 inLost-$811,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under47c170.74$81 inLost-$81.051,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over55c109.09$60 inWon+$49.0911560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c97$47 inLost-$46.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over52c65.1$34 inWon+$31.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under44c55.93$25 inLost-$24.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c51.84$28 inWon+$23.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over54c51.44$28 inWon+$23.6612852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over46c45$21 inWon+$24.345472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over36c41.31$15 inWon+$26.532,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over52c36.62$19 inWon+$17.5838329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cd…f455backed Under47c31.27$15 inLost-$14.642642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under47c29.99$14 inLost-$14.186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Under46c24.99$12 inLost-$11.56355.7%2 W · 33 L-16.1wins-0.46per pick52cpaid-91.8%equal weight20-0.27 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.