TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spainof France, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed France2c47,116$939 inLost-$939.1617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed France2c20,876$355 inLost-$354.8929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed France2c17,995$396 inLost-$395.8971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed France2c10,000$180 inLost-$18012534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed France2c9,683$223 inLost-$222.531656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed France2c9,456$158 inLost-$158.2236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France2c9,243$200 inLost-$20024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked France2c8,195$131 inLost-$131.1221333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked France2c6,507$111 inLost-$110.628028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France2c5,226$118 inLost-$118.4972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France0c4,351$15 inLost-$15.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed France1c4,225$34 inLost-$33.865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed France2c4,032$100 inLost-$100.011,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France2c3,403$77 inLost-$7736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed France2c3,343$68 inLost-$68.2284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France1c3,000$35 inLost-$3517919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France2c2,898$62 inLost-$61.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed France2c2,583$44 inLost-$44.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed France2c2,506$43 inLost-$42.660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked France2c1,844$33 inLost-$33.24422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed France2c1,672$32 inLost-$31.777042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed France2c1,400$29 inLost-$28.73813.2%5 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e9…fe78backed France2c1,316$25 inLost-$25147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-87.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed France2c1,203$26 inLost-$26.421,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France2c1,130$24 inLost-$24.453,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked France2c1,004$16 inLost-$16.031,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked France3c950$24 inLost-$23.7515418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked France3c800$20 inLost-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France2c700$15 inLost-$15.447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France2c585$11 inLost-$11.4797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.