Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6557afb7eaeaeb8f3f260b9421877f03662615c0cfdc9aba815c6dbd0f2282d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 54c | 7,313$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.74 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Over | 45c | 3,456$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.32 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,179$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 45c | 2,244$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,498$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed Over | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 7c | 846.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 31c | 650.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 611.09$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 46c | 565.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Over | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 406.41$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 40c | 387.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…e41bbacked Over | 47c | 339.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…fd54backed Over | 47c | 331.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Over | 31c | 320.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 286.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 36c | 247.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 50c | 212.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…3841backed Over | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…521ebacked Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -84%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…2832backed Over | 45c | 198.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 184.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 47c | 179.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…1059backed Over | 45c | 176.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 37c | 175.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 149.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 144.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 31c | 143.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…ac6ebacked Under | 56c | 130.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 119.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 69c | 106$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8e…f754backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Under | 61c | 79.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 25c | 70.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 16c | 70.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…e6fabacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…05e8backed Over | 79c | 62.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…31a3backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 47c | 50.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…17d4backed Over | 47c | 49.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 24c | 46.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 47c | 46.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…3d0dbacked Over | 46c | 43.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…4a60backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 45c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…ff3fbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…e333backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…4b4abacked Over | 47c | 29.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 54c | 28.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 46c | 27.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 53c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.