France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d801a35f4f468aa20787a991dfd102e48ed38de90fa4c07b34aae4706a12f3

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,957 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	17c	7,025$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	17c	6,695$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.12	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1f…b823backed Over	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	18c	1,750$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	9c	1,603$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.26	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	18c	1,463$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.44	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	18c	1,145$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.06	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…15a7backed Over	17c	1,122$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.75	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	7c	978.52$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.23	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	17c	882.34$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	17c	834.24$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.39	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	18c	832$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ef…e596backed Over	17c	729.41$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…2ee2backed Over	9c	694.89$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.54	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	18c	665.77$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed Over	18c	629.9$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.38	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	17c	615$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.8	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…285fbacked Over	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	14cpaid	+246.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	17c	585.01$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.78	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over	18c	529.06$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.23	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	289	45.3%131 W · 158 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over	17c	473.4$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.48	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Over	18c	447.71$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over	3c	404.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8784…9d52backed Over	18c	324.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.41	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	28cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over	11c	317.19$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…221fbacked Over	9c	312.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	18c	311.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.41	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	8c	305.41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0baa…4b70backed Over	17c	291.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Over	8c	284.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5247…deafbacked Over	18c	280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Over	17c	271.76$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over	17c	249.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	8c	240.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	17c	231.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	17c	225.88$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Over	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…9ecdbacked Over	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef7…dc35backed Over	19c	193.16$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1601…73dfbacked Over	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f77…60b5backed Over	18c	161$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4264…4811backed Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	17c	135.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	79c	125$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.75	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	18c	122.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Over	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Over	17c	116.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	108	37%40 W · 68 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…07eabacked Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5177…7715backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	11c	110.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over	17c	100.02$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec47…0c22backed Over	17c	95.62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4453…fc75backed Over	17c	84.29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5d…64f7backed Over	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc8…a2c4backed Over	15c	77.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a28…f71abacked Over	14c	71.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Over	18c	59.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	80c	20.41$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.08	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5this page
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event